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Fit Any Scatter Plot June 7, 2018

Posted by stuffilikenet in Brilliant words, Geek Stuff, Science.
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A wonderful paper in the archives of the University of Rochester  shows how any random scatter plot can be fit to a curve with enough parameters, and thence a lower number of same is often thought to be a good measure of an expression’s fitness for use…until now. “The mathematician John von Neumann famously admonished that with four free parameters he could make an elephant, and with five he could make it wiggle its trunk…The aim of this short note is to show that, in fact, very simple, elementary models exist that are capable of fitting arbitrarily many points to an arbitrary precision using only a single real-valued parameter θ. This is not always due to severe pathologies—one such model, studied here, is infinitely continuously differentiable as a function of θ. The existence of this model has implications for statistical model comparison, and shows that great care must be taken in machine learning efforts to discover equations from data since some simple models can fit any data set arbitrarily well.”

Tall claim?  Nope.  The author, Steven T. Piantadosi, shows two examples of data points fitted with a simple equation

 

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can be fit to any arbitrary set of data plots……like these:

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Mind you, the parameter θ needs to be calculated precisely: ”Both use r = 8 and require hundreds to thousands of digits of precision in θ.”.

Gee whiz (and hilarity) aside, the paper demonstrates the fallacy of using unreasonable models for this sort of algorithmic from-data derivation to create meaning from what might be noise, or Joan Miro’s signature.

Sore Loser June 5, 2018

Posted by stuffilikenet in Hello Kitty, RV and camping, Uncategorizable.
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Lily wants a drink before the next hand

The Delight of Propane Chicken June 5, 2018

Posted by stuffilikenet in RV and camping, Toys.
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Yellow Creek Campground May 29, 2018

Posted by stuffilikenet in Mushrooms, Photography, RV and camping.
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in Plumas County is a delightful PG&E-owned small campground with nearly no amenities. It has eleven campsites, two without raccoon boxes, two vault toilets and at least running water.

It is, however, beautiful beyond compare.  Located on a meadow with a stream

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passing one-third of the campsites and with a canopy of pines and firs to shade the campers, it’s a little garden spot all its own…and then there are the mushrooms.  Oh my goodness, the mushrooms.

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I fear I have left out a few.  Don’t worry; it’s raining right now so I should have new ones for you soon.

I relaxed after a hard day of squatting to photograph mushrooms (that weren’t there when I left camp this afternoon) by photographing their newer brethren, freshly emerged into my camera’s eye while being serenaded by at least six different kinds of birds (a red hawk among them) at sunset.  After dark there are frogs to keep the gentle susurration going, so that my sleep is as peaceful as can be…except knowing there are black bears about (my first day here there was a mound of bear evidence1).

Also, there are cute ice flowers to be admired, if you look carefully for them.

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1. I may continue to use “evidence” as an euphemism for all things scatological in future.

Synchro de Mayo May 21, 2018

Posted by stuffilikenet in RV and camping, Toys, Uncategorizable, Uncategorized.
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is not really what it’s called, it is just when it happens.  A congregation of some of the 2600-odd Volkswagen Vanagon Synchros in the United States, it’s really a long camping party in Hollister State Recreation Area and the best place to see immaculately kept and/or innovatively modified Synchros:

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There’s one in every crowd, I guess.

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Why four wheel drive?

 

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Vanagon owner doing what they do most.

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The newest Volkswagen four-wheel drive: not for sale in California (or maybe the USA)

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Typical Vanagon in its native habitat.

There were other VW vans there, of course:

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Dimensional Analysis of a Dometic Toilet April 22, 2018

Posted by stuffilikenet in RV and camping.
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is the least satisfactory way of finding out which model is being examined.  The paperwork for Dometic toilets only goes back so far.  Dometic dimensional analysis What happens if your Lazy Daze is twelve years old? You can’t find the proper part numbers online, that’s what.  I speak as a tireless expert geek; you can’t get it off the net. And so, you make do with toilet seals that do not match perfectly, and slide around until they are no longer seals, but volcanoes of an odiferous bent…I mean vent.

Well, since I am a tireless geek (and since I live near the stinking thing), I kept looking.  Finally ran into Philip at Morro Dunes RV Park, who carefully asked me about the configuration of my toilet.  Stumped, he asked me to text him pictures of the thing disassembled, which I did…and then he found the right seals.  IMG_20180325_191531924_HDRIt It helps that Phil has been fixing RVs for the better part of fifteen years.

But wait!  there’s more. Removing the toilet from the base to change the seal started a leak at the back of the thing, which was difficult to trace, but eventually fixed with Teflon tape (zip ties, Teflon tape, Velcro, Sugru and duct tape are my favorite things). blood, sweat and swearing.

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Glories March 4, 2018

Posted by stuffilikenet in Photography, Publishing Tools, Toys.
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I grew up in a devoutly Methodist household, and we had paintings  of Our Lord  which often featured the suggestion of God’s presence through rays of light streaming through clouds.  In fact, I don’t usually see these rays which I call Glories all that often; apparently the particles necessary for such diffraction are rare enough that glories don’t come standard with every sunset.

Then, too, when I see them I don’t have a nice camera with me…just my cell phone.  The current default camera app in Android 6.0.1 does not feature exposure control, making it very difficult to catch the rays (usually sunsets present as a bright band of yellow in my camera).  Thankfully, the Google Play store offers other camera apps, such as CameraZOOM. I have been able to finally capture a good enough sample to share (cropped in The GIMP):

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Glories near Lake Havasu

Busses By The Bridge February 8, 2018

Posted by stuffilikenet in RV and camping, Toys.
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BBTB is a celebration of all things VW, but most especially busses.  My missus does not miss a chance to celebrate her particular misguided passion, despite the huge cost and compete unreliability of a thirty year-old, poorly designed, cheaply built invention of Adolph Hitler.

Just sayin’.

Now, lest you think me bitter or this subject, I point out that there were 600 better implementations of the Vanagon in this show alone, many of them fully functional and not at all plagued with the sorts of things which indicate the van in question was never restored, reconditioned or renovated.  At all.  Check the few photos below for pointed examples:

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Joshua Tree National Park February 8, 2018

Posted by stuffilikenet in Awesome, Mutants, Photography, RV and camping, Uncategorizable.
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Warning: foul language

JTNP is a dangerous place for the unwary naturalist or hiker.  Forget about scampering naked through the desert during a full moon; this place is populated by a truly bewildering variety of spiked, barbed,pointed and sharp plants guaranteed to impale an incautious passerby on the briefest hike, or trip to the restroom.

Take, for example, this beautiful specimen of Darwinian selection:

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This is known as the Spanish Bayonet, the Pointy Bastard or the Unwary Thighstabber. My wife says this is her least favorite plant, possibly due to unfortunate personal experience.  Spanish Bayonet is very stiff and the point is very hard.  I do not doubt this pointy bastard could be used as a bayonet.

Next a more delicate, elegant stiletto of a plant:

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Note the barbed thorns and tips. This herd-culling flora is known as the Lacerating Motherfucker, for good reason. Sometimes called the Wait a Minute, it grabs anything organic which brushes it and drags it towards itself in a series of painful spasms.  One presumes the plant benefits passively from the organic matter of its victims decaying around it, thus enriching the local soil. It is perhaps worth noting that many desert species secrete chemicals which inhibit the germination of other plants.  This helps explain why there are small bare patches surrounding most plants in Joshua Tree National Park.  Worth noting, too, is that the space is just large enough for small critters to pass, but not humans.

Ouch.

Then there are the more obvious instruments of torture, the standard cacti, some of which are exceptionally well defended1, such as the Malevolent Spiny Fucker:

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Closely related in terms of armament and disposition is That Dangerous Spiked Fucker:

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Not lastly (because I’m typing this in a very cramped camping chair and I need to go have a beer) is the Psychotic Rapier Clusterfuck.  Do not trip near this plant.

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As usual, the wonders of Nature make me sit back and admire her ingenuity from safely inside a locked room with air conditioning, a stereo system playing Vivaldi and powerful adult beverages to celebrate my narrow escapes.2

I would not have you finish reading this little note without understanding that the grandeur of the place is unparalleled in my experience. The Flintstonesesque scenery will make any visitor think they have landed on another planet designed by Irwin Allen, or maybe Ray Harryhausen.3:

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1.  The best defense is a good offense.

2.  I haven’t even talked about the night hikes through the Stabby Wastelands following an experienced madman to “my spot”, nor the boulder scrambling urges that demand to be addressed by the Flintstones’ rock formations here. Honestly, I don’t know what I was thinking.

3.   Seriously. Maybe Luc Besson?

Patrick’s Point, Postage-stamp Park January 12, 2018

Posted by stuffilikenet in Mushrooms, Photography, RV and camping.
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In December I had the most delightful visit to Patrick’s Point Park, a 1.5 mile by about 1.0 mile-wide campground and park. Being pretty darned cold, it was mostly empty, the way I prefer my natural surroundings. It was peak mushroom season and shrooms were found about every five feet on the nature trails.  Only one hallucinogenic (amanita mascara), so don’t rush there to pick’em; their are signs all over the place admonishing visitors to leave the shrooms and flowers untouched.  And since nobody is around, violators will be easy to spot.

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This set of photos is just me on a maybe one-mile hike. For comparison, that is a size 11 men’s foot you see in the images. Also; there is ample scenic beauty besides my unnatural interest in mushrooms.

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Leavis Flat Campground January 5, 2018

Posted by stuffilikenet in Photography, RV and camping.
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Leavis Flat campground is a charming little side-of-the-road spot, with no pavement, no water (except the creek; see photos, below) and nobody else here, at least in January.  The ranger did come by (with a gun and a bullet-proof vest—I wonder what’s going on here usually?) to determine we were not bums, transients, bindlestiffs nor other kinds of ne’er-do-wells and that we had, in fact, paid to get in.  Leavis Flat is perhaps too close to Los Angeles for comfort.

Regardless, our little campsite had lovely views of the nearby creek, beautiful scrub oaks, chestnuts and mulberry treeIMG_20180104_091720819s  and, except for the very occasional car, just the sound of the creek to lull us to sleep. It’s a welcome change from having to spend several days in the SF bay area.

The creek is surrounded on all sides by the kinds of rocks you expect in the California foothills; bring your boots if you like to scamper up a creek bouldering.

Nice.  There are also lovely little bare areas with just leaves that look like floors

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freshly strewn with flower petals:

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Very relaxing, with nobody around at all.The real reason we camped here is (besides the low cost of entry) is proximity to California Hot Springs, which we intend to visit before departing for Joshua Trees.

IMG_20180104_160902217 EXCITING UPDATE:  California Hot Springs is closed for the nonce, so we charged up the hill to see the 100 Giants,a redwood grove here in Sequoia National Park.  A nice little ride (11 miles from Leavis Flat campground up to about 6700 feet)in the missus’ Vanagon, the show and ice hardly mattered.

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…or…

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I have left out the devastation of certain pine species along the way; apparently beetles ran rampant (or drought killed just this one species among other trees such as sequoia and cedar), as most of the long-needled pines are dead, dead, dead. Very sad and kind of spooky, seeing these dead trees among the live ones.

The Best Things in Life January 1, 2018

Posted by stuffilikenet in Awesome, Mutants, Photography, RV and camping.
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The momentous stuff in my life pales in comparison with a good camping trip…like this one. At our favorite local (abandoned) campground:

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Within walking distance of here we found, well, this:

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All found within twenty minutes, each cluster was part of a greater whole.

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This is the view across the pond…reflected in the water, then rotated and cropped in GIMP, the poor man’s Photoshop.

The Flood of 2017 December 31, 2017

Posted by stuffilikenet in Photography, Uncategorizable.
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First, a little background:

Lois Ann and I moved to Greenville because we found the people so polite and pleasant, and for the considerable scenic beauty Indian Valley affords. We chose to rent [landlord]’s house based on the view from the back door/porch (no kidding).  Because we spent so much time moving the belongings from our large San Francisco home, we had boxes everywhere in the rental home and especially lining the walls of the dining room. Since our dietary requirements differ so much from each other, Lois Ann and I rarely share a meal and therefore didn’t use the dining room often for actually eating.  Mostly we stored things there before moving them into the house.  Critically for our narrative, we stored boxes along the north and east walls of the dining room. These boxes were fifteen gallon plastic containers (of which we have more than two hundred) and are (critically to our narrative) waterproof and odor proof.

Well, we hadn’t noticed that the carpet under those boxes smelled strongly of cat urine. We didn’t discover this until we had lived in the house for several months.  We kept the doors and windows open to enjoy the spring and summer (and early fall) air, and consequently a breeze moved any odors out before the could become noticeable.

Then came Winter. Winters in Plumas County are very cold.  The winter of 2016-2017 was also snowy and wet by turns, requiring us to actually shut doors and windows. We devoted our inside time to unpacking some of the boxes in the dining room and finally uncovered the smell. The smell was quite strong, so we cleaned carpets with our household carpet cleaner and complained to our landlady verbally for a few weeks, then in writing requesting carpet cleaning be done. She took no action for a month after our written request, so we hired and paid a carpet cleaner to deep clean the carpet.  He came around and measured the moisture of the carpets with a gizmo he had, and found the worst spots and tried to clean them. This involved saturating the carpets with strong cleaners and then drying the saturated areas with gigantic fans.  This is in November 2016.  Drying with fans during this time involves leaving the windows open to allow the damp air to escape.  The average temperature in Plumas County in November is often near or below freezing. We suffered miserable cold for three days.

Sadly, the carpet cleaning had little effect on the odor of cat urine. The carpet cleaner suggested that the carpet, IMG_20161108_114905 pad and floorboards were soaked in cat urine over perhaps years, and that the flooring needed to be replace entirely. His moisture gizmo confirmed it, pretty much wherever our noses suggested there was cat urine.

Well, replacing her carpet, pad and floorboards was outside of our budget.  Our budget, courtesy of the California Civil Code’s landlord-tenant law, consisted of one month’s rent which we are allowed to withhold in order to make repairs, or remediate livability issues [insert quotes from California code here], like cat stink.  California renters are allowed to do this twice a year.  Instead, we bought plastic sheeting and carpet remnants cheaply to lay over the smelly carpet. It worked, although opinions about the aesthetics are mixed.
Now, a little more background: 

We had beetles in the house almost since we arrived.  We complained about these verbally at first also, then by email and finally paid an exterminator when we had given our landlady a written request to do so without results.  This came out of the same November rent that we withheld for the noisome carpet.  As these are both livability issues, we filed a complaint with the Plumas County Inspector’s office (we complained about the mold smell at the same time, and asked for an inspection) which, pursuant to [insert California Civil Code] gives us certain civil protections (cannot be evicted for six months, cannot be harassed, etc.) from landlord retaliation.

As you may imagine our landlady became enraged and, given her self-confessed title of "Cruella DeVil", began a campaign of harassment involving multiple demands to move (in writing!) delivered by an embarrassed Sherriff’s deputy (during a dinner party) or pasted on the doors of the house.  Since none of these had anything like the force of law, we ignored them completely.

And then the atmospheric river hit the fan. On February 9th the rising waters from some very serious snowmelt flooded our rental. It was pretty serious and most people in Plumas County were affected by the highway closures due to flooding or road collapse and the frequent and prolonged power outages.  We were convinced at midnight that the rising water had stopped IMG_20170209_212158484 and went to sleep, but along about 4AM a neighbor let us know we were underwater. 

IMG_20170210_045141809 View out the front door at about 5AM.

I wouldn’t have slept through it anyway: the propane tank turned over and made a nasty scraping noise totally unlike all the animals whose nocturnal activities usually wake me. I looked outside and saw water, water everywhere. 

Well, the water came up to the bottom of the house’s floorboards and flooded the family room between 18 and 21 inches IMG_20170213_130755765 and up to the floorboards everywhere else with filthy pasture water and snow melt. It was bitterly cold and filthy, and I began to move our goods to the car (on higher ground) to abandon ship.  I called our neighbors Scott and Barbara, who rowed out to our house in their canoe at 5AM with coffee IMG_20170210_060415076

Scott and Barbara coming to the rescue

and helped us turn the propane tank over enough to shut off the gas, then helped us move our goods and cats to their house (also on higher ground).  They made us very comfortableIMG_20170211_192433372_HDR in their travel trailer and made us spend the night (and the next), and treated us like good neighbors ought, buying us a crab dinner at the Chamber of Commerce fundraiser.

When the waters subsided enough to enter the house, everything that could float had.  Dan and Sarah and Sam and Cassie and Scott and Barbara spent all day Saturday helping us clean up and dry out the stuff that could be salvage (a great deal could not be salvaged). The two grade school girls Addison and Abigail from down the street collected all the plastic toys we lost and carefully lined them up in front of our house. Dan and Sarah gave us some dry wood to get by with, since all ours was either soaked or had floated away.  The HVAC system in the house had been underwater (cold, smelly water) for 48 hours and was pretty much ruined, so we really needed the wood (remember, this is February and snow was still expected—see below, about a week later) to simply not freeze. IMG_20170222_071236971 We did try to contact our landlord at this time about the flood destroying the heater, and the drywall and carpet.  She never did respond.  We also tried to contact her brother (part owner of the house). He did not respond; in fact he blocked our number after we left a message telling him we needed to remove the carpets in the flooded room and the drywall, as the smell was pretty much unbearable. IMG_20170210_064505165_BURST000_COVER

Unable to reach either of them, we began to remove the odious, reeking mass of carpet, and the soaked drywall and insulation February 13th. We tore out the soaked carpet, using a neighbor’s trailer to hold the noisome mess until the trailer was full, then carted it to the city dump. 

IMG_20170212_154443155_HDR Repeat as necessary (it was).

It turns out there is a procedure that remediation people use, which was carefully explained to us by the County code enforcement guy. You test for moisture with a moisture gauge (from your larger hardware stores) and only cut when you hit dry drywall and insulation.  You remove the drywall and the insulation (because the water wicks upward, maybe forever) a little bit above IMG_20170213_130732716 your lowest dry reading.  And you document your work, carefully labeling the diagram of the room to show no extra was removed.

We did all this of course, except using a moisture gauge; the highways out of town were either underwater or washed away, so we couldn’t get one…and the place smelled awful. We needed to act quickly, and we needed help for all this, despite our neighbors pitching in (thanks, Scott and Barbara, and Dan), so we hired a pair of locals to help us out, at the reasonable rate of $15/hour.  They worked pretty hard and we emptied the room of soaked drywall, insulation and carpet pretty quickly.  We then bleached the whole room with Clorox and water, including the open wall areas, and waited for the whole room to dry using only the fireplace and borrowed wood to heat it (still winter, remember?).IMG_20170227_105209160   It took two days and most of the borrowed wood (thanks, Dan and Sarah!).

In the meantime, we determined that the most effective flood-proof wall would be some sort of wainscot attached with screws.  We bought cheap white paneling at Home Depot and cut it to appropriate height and started screwing it in place. The result was passable, but progress was interrupted by lack of funds (we withheld rent for this, and went far over $1100) so we stopped.  At least the walls were enclosed; but no trim was put up so our landlady will have to fix it herself.

During the several days this took, the folks at AmeriGas sent out a guy to help us put the floated propane tank back on its pedestal.  The ground was still soaked and his big ole’ truck got stuck almost as soon as it left the pavement.  Our neighbor Cassie pulled him out with her truck, and another neighbor used his tractor IMG_20170211_143716573 to upright the tank (thanks, Caleb!).

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Not everyone was a cooperative as our wonderful neighbors, though.  Particularly our landlady, who did not respond to telephone calls, e-mail messages or Facebook messages (from us. She did respond to our neighbor, so we know she was capable of receiving them). When she finally showed up a week after the flooding (when we had nearly completed remediation) she refused to speak to us except to tell us her attorney had advised her not to talk to us. Hmmm.

Later that evening I checked my e-mail and found a message from her attorney, one Charles Simonetti. It threatened legal action if we didn’t move in five days, since she had served us with a form telling us to move earlier, despite the Civil Code’s protection of us as rent withholders (a form of harassment specifically prohibited by the code).  We didn’t ignore Mr. Simonetti’s e-mail; we cheerfully had our attorney call him back and carefully explain the finer points of the relevant California Civil Code to him.  His final verbal negotiation with me was to demand that we move or he would file an Unlawful Detainer, the beginning phase of an eviction for cause.  I carefully did not laugh, but told him I would reply in writing (one of my favorite delay tactics) and did nothing for a few weeks.

IMG_20170301_104718108 In the meantime, our home was a deep freeze. There was still snow outside until early March, and really cold temps near freezing with no snow for quite some time afterwards.  We did not have quiet enjoyment of our rented home, nor heat nor even any promise of action by our landlady to provide the necessities of “the implied warranty of habitability” inherent in renting out a home. Copy of IMG_20170228_123359921_HDR_soaked__sagging_ductworkShe did, however, finally “inspect” the flood damage and assess repair needs on the 28th (two weeks and change after the flood)—she came and removed her personal property from the crawl space under the house…no repairs made or discussed with us at all. The alert reader will notice the soggy, sagging ductwork…it’s completely soaked.  See how much it’s sagging there?  The strap is holding several gallons of water in that duct…which groans piteously under its heavy burden, like a fat man on Thanksgiving night.

Then other true annoyances began; the landlady began harassing us in earnest. Firstly she demanded that we pay the rent withheld previously to make livability repairs (both forbidden by Civil Code). Then she “entered to make repairs” again, but actually did nothing at all towards repairing the ductwork for the heating system (March 14), when the lows were in the low forties.

So, we reiterated our dissatisfaction with her lack of response to our habitability needs (and legal requirements) along with our next month’s rent, and asked for heater repair (it’s still pretty cold at night in April). We got no response at all, but she did cash the April rent check. Meanwhile, our attempts to negotiate with her attorney kind of fizzled out, since we were interested in being compensated for lack of habitability repairs, lack of quiet enjoyment and landlord harassment and he didn’t seem to realize these were the issues at stake, rather than our “unpaid” (withheld) rent. Ultimately he bowed out entirely.1

The very same day the landlady served us with another harassing piece of paper telling us to cease and desist repairs to the house, saying we would be held responsible for any and all expenses, blah, blah, blah.  This was well after most repairs were made by us, and before she even began to consider repairing anything at all (for her tenants whose rent checks she was still cashing), like the heating system.  The lows for that night were still in the low forties.

[TO BE CONTINUED IF I FEEL LIKE IT]

________

1 About three weeks later I tried to contact him by phone and he replied by e-mail (April 24th) "Please contact [landlord] directly.  I am not handling this matter anymore at this time, until further notice.  Thanks." From this I cannot tell if he was fired, or if he came to his senses and quit. Maybe she didn’t pay him. Perhaps he does not wish to be a party to illegal harassment, as the State Bar takes a dim view of unlawful actions by its members.  And then there are the fines; each instance of harassment can be punishable by a fine of between $100 and $2000. By our count she’s had fourteen actionable incidents, although a court of law may choose to differ about some of them. Were we awarded fines for each at the maximum rate we would be well ahead of our rent expenses. I bet Simonetti can afford more fines than she can, but probably is smart enough not to want to; after all, he did pass the Bar exam.

Absolutely Juvenile July 26, 2017

Posted by stuffilikenet in Applications, Awesome, Geek Stuff, Mutants, Toys, Uncategorizable, Video.
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I enjoyed this immensely, but it is about one in the morning and I have been up since about five cleaning house and preparing for my next Great Adventure.

 

I am probably punchy.

This Just In June 16, 2017

Posted by stuffilikenet in Awesome, Photography.
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 View looking southeastIMG_20170616_204335466 

View looking northwest

Just Two Guys Talking June 7, 2017

Posted by stuffilikenet in Awesome, Brilliant words, Video.
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Best Used Car Advertisement Ever April 30, 2017

Posted by stuffilikenet in Brilliant words, Toys, Video.
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Star Trek (in My Imagination, at Least) March 24, 2017

Posted by stuffilikenet in Awesome, Video.
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Beauty and the Beast With a Better Gaston March 24, 2017

Posted by stuffilikenet in Awesome, Brilliant words, Video.
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Training Neural Networks to Write Bach in a Day! March 24, 2017

Posted by stuffilikenet in Applications, Awesome, Brain, Geek Stuff, Toys, Video.
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Fascinating bit of video here as Our Hero (not me, in this case) takes Bach (and later Mozart) MIDI files, creates an 88-character ASCII-character alphabet from them and trains a Recurrent Neural Network to output similar sequences.

The results (and a lot of the process) is shown in the video above.  Take your time and watch the whole thing; I wonder how long he would have to train the RNN to start outputting Baroque Muzak continually?